Technology - zabwino kapena zoipa? Malingaliro a Elon Musk, Yuval Noah Harari ndi ena

Kodi asayansi, amalonda ndi Akuluakulu amakampani akuluakulu amavomereza kukula kofulumira kwaukadaulo, amawona bwanji tsogolo lathu ndipo amagwirizana bwanji ndi zinsinsi za data yawo?

techno-optimists

  • Ray Kurzweil, Google CTO, futurist

"Nzeru zopangapanga si zachilendo zochokera ku Mars, koma chifukwa cha luntha laumunthu. Ndikukhulupirira kuti teknoloji idzaphatikizidwa m'matupi athu ndi ubongo ndipo idzatha kuthandiza thanzi lathu.

Mwachitsanzo, tidzalumikiza neocortex yathu kumtambo, kudzipanga tokha anzeru ndikupanga mitundu yatsopano ya chidziwitso chomwe sichinali chodziwika kwa ife. Awa ndi masomphenya anga amtsogolo, chitukuko chathu pofika 2030.

Timapanga makina anzeru ndipo amatithandiza kukulitsa luso lathu. Palibe cholakwika chilichonse chokhudzana ndi kuphatikiza kwa umunthu ndi luntha lochita kupanga: zikuchitika pakali pano. Masiku ano kulibe nzeru zopanga zokhazokha padziko lapansi, koma pali mafoni pafupifupi 3 biliyoni omwe alinso anzeru zopangira ”[1].

  • Peter Diamandis, CEO wa Zero Gravity Corporation

“Tekinoloje iliyonse yamphamvu yomwe tidapangapo imagwiritsidwa ntchito pa zabwino ndi zoyipa. Koma yang'anani deta kwa nthawi yaitali: kuchuluka kwa ndalama zopangira chakudya pa munthu aliyense zatsika, kuchuluka kwa moyo kwawonjezeka bwanji.

Sindikunena kuti sipadzakhala mavuto ndi chitukuko cha matekinoloje atsopano, koma, kawirikawiri, amapangitsa dziko kukhala malo abwino. Kwa ine, ndikuwongolera miyoyo ya anthu mabiliyoni ambiri omwe ali mumkhalidwe wovuta wa moyo, pafupi ndi moyo.

Pofika 2030, umwini wagalimoto udzakhala chinthu chakale. Musintha garaja yanu kukhala chipinda chocheperako komanso njira yanu yopita kumunda wamaluwa. Mutatha kadzutsa m'mawa, mudzayenda pakhomo la nyumba yanu: luntha lochita kupanga lidzadziwa ndondomeko yanu, muwone momwe mumasunthira, ndikukonzekera galimoto yamagetsi yodziyimira yokha. Popeza simunagone mokwanira usiku watha, bedi lidzayalidwa kumpando wakumbuyo kwa inu - kotero mutha kuchotsa kusowa tulo popita kuntchito.

  • Michio Kaku, American theoretical physics, popularizer of science and futurist

"Zopindulitsa zomwe anthu amapeza chifukwa chogwiritsa ntchito luso lamakono nthawi zonse zidzaposa ziwopsezo. Ndili wotsimikiza kuti kusintha kwa digito kumathandizira kuthetsa zotsutsana za capitalism yamakono, kuthana ndi kusakwanira kwake, kuchotsa kupezeka kwachuma kwa oyimira pakati omwe samawonjezera phindu lililonse pamabizinesi kapena unyolo pakati pa opanga ndi ogula.

Mothandizidwa ndi matekinoloje a digito, anthu, mwanjira ina, adzatha kupeza moyo wosafa. Zidzakhala zotheka, tinene, kusonkhanitsa zonse zomwe timadziwa za munthu wotchuka wakufa, ndipo kutengera chidziwitso ichi kupanga chidziwitso chake cha digito, ndikuchiwonjezera ndi chithunzi chenicheni cha holographic. Zidzakhala zosavuta kupanga chizindikiritso cha digito kwa munthu wamoyo powerenga zambiri kuchokera muubongo wake ndikupanga kuwirikiza kawiri ”[3].

  • Elon Musk, wochita bizinesi, woyambitsa Tesla ndi SpaceX

"Ndili ndi chidwi ndi zinthu zomwe zikusintha dziko kapena zomwe zimakhudza zam'tsogolo, komanso matekinoloje odabwitsa, atsopano omwe mumawawona ndikudabwa: "Wow, izi zidachitika bwanji? Kodi izi zingatheke bwanji? [anayi].

  • Jeff Bezos, woyambitsa ndi CEO wa Amazon

"Pankhani ya danga, ndimagwiritsa ntchito chuma changa kuti m'badwo wotsatira wa anthu uchite bwino kwambiri m'derali. Ndikuganiza kuti ndizotheka ndipo ndikukhulupirira kuti ndikudziwa kupanga mapangidwe awa. Ndikufuna amalonda zikwizikwi kuti athe kuchita zinthu zodabwitsa mumlengalenga mwa kuchepetsa kwambiri mtengo wopezera kunja kwa Dziko Lapansi.

"Zinthu zitatu zofunika kwambiri pakugulitsa ndi malo, malo, malo. Zinthu zitatu zofunika kwambiri pabizinesi yathu yogula ndi ukadaulo, ukadaulo ndiukadaulo.

  • Mikhail Kokorich, woyambitsa ndi CEO wa Momentus Space

"Ndimadziona ndekha ngati techno-optimist. Malingaliro anga, teknoloji ikupita patsogolo pa moyo waumunthu ndi chikhalidwe cha anthu pakati pa nthawi yaitali, ngakhale kuti pali mavuto omwe amabwera chifukwa chachinsinsi komanso kuvulaza - mwachitsanzo, ngati tikukamba za kuphedwa kwa Uyghurs ku China.

Tekinoloje imatenga malo akulu m'moyo wanga, chifukwa kwenikweni mumakhala pa intaneti, m'dziko lenileni. Ziribe kanthu momwe mungatetezere deta yanu, imakhala yapagulu ndipo siyingabisike kwathunthu.

  • Ruslan Fazliyev, woyambitsa nsanja ya e-commerce ECWID ndi X-Cart

"Mbiri yonse ya anthu ndi mbiri ya techno-optimism. Mfundo yakuti ndimaonedwa kuti ndine wachinyamata wazaka 40 ndizotheka chifukwa cha luso lamakono. Momwe timalankhulirana tsopano ndi zotsatira zaukadaulo. Lero titha kupeza chilichonse tsiku limodzi, osachoka kunyumba - sitinayerekeze kulota izi m'mbuyomu, koma tsopano matekinoloje akugwira ntchito ndikuwongolera tsiku lililonse, kupulumutsa nthawi yathu ndikupereka chisankho chomwe sichinachitikepo.

Zambiri zaumwini ndizofunika, ndipo ndithudi, ndimakonda kuziteteza momwe ndingathere. Koma kuchita bwino komanso kuthamanga ndikofunikira kwambiri kuposa chitetezo chabodza cha data yanu, yomwe ili pachiwopsezo. Ngati nditha kufulumizitsa njira ina, ndimagawana zambiri zanga popanda vuto. Mabungwe ngati Big Four GAFA (Google, Amazon, Facebook, Apple) Ndikuganiza kuti mutha kudalira deta yanu.

Ndikutsutsana ndi malamulo amakono oteteza deta. Kufunika kwa chilolezo chokhazikika pakusamutsa kwawo kumapangitsa wogwiritsa ntchito kuthera maola ambiri amoyo wake akudina mapangano a cookie ndikugwiritsa ntchito zidziwitso zake. Izi zimachepetsa kayendetsedwe ka ntchito, koma kwenikweni sizithandiza mwanjira iliyonse ndipo sizingatheke kuteteza kutayikira kwawo. Kusawona kwa zokambirana zovomerezeka kumapangidwa. Njira zotetezera deta zoterezi ndizosaphunzira komanso zopanda ntchito, zimangosokoneza ntchito ya wogwiritsa ntchito pa intaneti. Tikufuna kusasintha kwanthawi zonse komwe wogwiritsa ntchito angapereke kumasamba onse ndikungovomereza kupatula.

  • Elena Behtina, CEO of Delimobil

"Zowonadi, ndine techno-optimist. Ndikukhulupirira kuti ukadaulo ndi digito zimathandizira kwambiri moyo wathu, ndikuwonjezera mphamvu zake. Kunena zowona, sindikuwona ziwopsezo zilizonse mtsogolo momwe makina adzalanda dziko. Ndikukhulupirira kuti teknoloji ndi mwayi waukulu kwa ife. M'malingaliro anga, tsogolo ndi la neural network, data yayikulu, luntha lochita kupanga komanso intaneti yazinthu.

Ndine wokonzeka kugawana deta yanga yomwe siili yangayanga kuti ndilandire mautumiki abwino kwambiri ndikusangalala nawo. Pali zabwino zambiri muukadaulo wamakono kuposa zoopsa. Amakupatsani mwayi wosankha mautumiki ndi zinthu zambiri kuti zigwirizane ndi zosowa za munthu aliyense, ndikumupulumutsa nthawi yambiri. ”

Technorealists ndi technopessimists

  • Francis, Papa

“Intaneti ingagwiritsidwe ntchito kupanga anthu athanzi komanso ogwirizana. Malo ochezera a pa Intaneti angathandize kuti anthu azikhala ndi moyo wabwino, koma angayambitsenso kusagwirizana ndi kulekanitsa anthu ndi magulu. Ndiko kuti, kulankhulana kwamakono ndi mphatso yochokera kwa Mulungu, yomwe ili ndi udindo waukulu” [7].

“Ngati kupita patsogolo kwaumisiri kukanakhala mdani wa ubwino wa onse, kukanadzetsa kugwa—ku mtundu wankhanza wolamulidwa ndi mphamvu zamphamvu kwambiri. Ubwino wamba sungathe kulekanitsidwa ndi zabwino za munthu aliyense "[8].

  • Yuval Noah Harari, wolemba zamtsogolo

“Posachedwapa, makina awononga ntchito mamiliyoni ambiri. Zowona, ntchito zatsopano zitenga malo awo, koma sizikudziwika ngati anthu azitha kudziwa mwachangu maluso ofunikira. ”

“Sindikuyesera kuletsa kupita patsogolo kwaukadaulo. M'malo mwake, ndimayesetsa kuthamanga. Ngati Amazon imakudziwani bwino kuposa momwe mumadziwira, ndiye kuti zatha. ”

“Luntha lochita kupanga limawopseza anthu ambiri chifukwa sakhulupirira kuti likhalabe lomvera. Zopeka za sayansi zimatsimikizira kuthekera kwakuti makompyuta kapena maloboti adzazindikira - ndipo posachedwa adzayesa kupha anthu onse. M'malo mwake, palibe chifukwa chokhulupirira kuti AI ipanga chidziwitso pamene ikukula. Tiyenera kuopa AI ndendende chifukwa mwina imamvera anthu nthawi zonse osapandukira. Sizili ngati chida china chilichonse; Ndithu, adzawalola omwe adalipo kale mphamvu kuti awonjezere mphamvu zawo.” [10].

  • Nicholas Carr, wolemba waku America, mphunzitsi ku yunivesite ya California

"Ngati sitisamala, kukhazikika kwa ntchito zamaganizidwe, posintha chikhalidwe ndi mayendedwe anzeru, pamapeto pake kumatha kuwononga imodzi mwa maziko a chikhalidwe chokha - chikhumbo chathu chofuna kudziwa dziko lapansi.

Pamene teknoloji yosamvetsetseka imakhala yosaoneka, muyenera kusamala. Panthawiyi, malingaliro ake ndi zolinga zake zimalowa m'zokhumba zathu ndi zochita zathu. Sitikudziwanso ngati pulogalamuyo ikutithandiza kapena ikutilamulira. Tikuyendetsa, koma sitingadziwe amene akuyendetsadi” [11].

  • Sherry Turkle, pulofesa wa za psychology ku Massachusetts Institute of Technology

"Tsopano tafika pa" mphindi ya robotiki ": iyi ndi nthawi yomwe timasamutsa maubwenzi ofunikira a anthu ku maloboti, makamaka kuyanjana muubwana ndi ukalamba. Timadandaula za Asperger komanso momwe timakhalira ndi anthu enieni. Malingaliro anga, okonda ukadaulo akungosewera ndi moto "[12].

"Sindikutsutsana ndi ukadaulo, ndili pa zokambirana. Komabe, tsopano ambiri aife tiri "pamodzi pamodzi": olekanitsidwa wina ndi mzake ndi luso lamakono" [13].

  • Dmitry Chuiko, woyambitsa nawo Whoosh

"Ndine katswiri waukadaulo kwambiri. Sindimatsatira matekinoloje atsopano ngati sathetsa vuto linalake. Pankhaniyi, ndizosangalatsa kuyesa, koma ndikuyamba kugwiritsa ntchito zipangizo zamakono ngati zimathetsa vuto linalake. Mwachitsanzo, umu ndi momwe ndinayesera magalasi a Google, koma sindinapeze ntchito, ndipo sindinawagwiritse ntchito.

Ndimamvetsetsa momwe matekinoloje a data amagwirira ntchito, kotero sindidandaula ndi zambiri zanga. Pali ukhondo wina wa digito - malamulo omwe amateteza: mapasiwedi osiyana pamasamba osiyanasiyana.

  • Jaron Lanier, futurist, biometrics ndi data visualization wasayansi

"Njira ya chikhalidwe cha digito, yomwe ndimadana nayo, idzatembenuza mabuku onse padziko lapansi kukhala amodzi, monga momwe Kevin Kelly anafotokozera. Izi zitha kuyambira zaka khumi zikubwerazi. Choyamba, Google ndi makampani ena adzayang'ana mabuku kumtambo ngati gawo la Manhattan Project of Culture digitization.

Ngati mwayi wopeza mabuku mumtambo ukhala kudzera m'malo ogwiritsa ntchito, ndiye kuti tiwona buku limodzi lokha patsogolo pathu. Nkhaniyi idzagawidwa m'zidutswa momwe nkhani ndi wolemba zidzabisika.

Izi zikuchitika kale ndi zambiri zomwe timadya: nthawi zambiri sitidziwa komwe nkhani yomwe tatchulayo idachokera, ndani adalemba ndemanga kapena amene adapanga kanemayo. Kupitiriza kwa mkhalidwe umenewu kudzatipangitsa kuwoneka ngati maufumu achipembedzo akale kapena North Korea, chitaganya cha buku limodzi.


Lembetsaninso ku njira ya Trends Telegraph ndikukhala ndi chidziwitso pazomwe zikuchitika komanso zolosera zamtsogolo zaukadaulo, zachuma, maphunziro ndi luso.

Siyani Mumakonda